A poll from University of New Hampshire Survey Center that showed Shaheen leading Sununu 46%-42% also came with half the people polled in CD-01.
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (7/11-20) 240 people (MoE 6.4%)
Bradley – 46%
Shea-Porter – 40%
http://www.politico.com/blogs/…
Next, an internal poll from the Harris campign that should probably be taken with a grain of salt (as the link says – High MoE + Poll Taken in one day)
Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates for Harris (7/15) 300 people (MoE 5.65%)
Harris – 44%
Kratovil – 28%
http://www.politico.com/blogs/…
I would take both polls with a grain of salt because I doubt Sununu is only down four points in the NH-Sen race.
MD-01 Fundraising round-up
Maryland-01*** (R+10) – – – R2B
Frank Kratovil v. Andrew Harris
Total Raised — $789,000 v. $1,905,000
Cash On Hand – $454,000 v. $609,000
CQ Politics – “Republican Favored” / Cook Political Report – “Likely Republican”
2006 results – http://www.opensecrets.org/rac…
NH-01 Fundraising round-up
New Hampshire-01 (R+0)
Representative Carol Shea-Porter v. Jeb Bradley
Total Raised — $919,000 v. $714,000
Cash On Hand – $748,000 v. $475,000
CQ Politics – “Lean Democrat” / Cook Political Report – “Lean Democrat”
2006 results – http://www.opensecrets.org/rac…
Everyone else has Shaheen up 12 points plus. If you adjust the Senate poll to reflect that fact and extrapolate it to the NH-01 poll you have Shea-Porter up. Bradley had a poor 2nd quarter fundraising total. I’m not too conserned over this race.
I was told they are notoriously unreliable pollsters.